Analyst: Sweepstakes Casino Industry Set for Growth Despite Increased Regulatory Oversight

Analyst: Sweepstakes Casino Industry Set for Growth Despite Increased Regulatory Oversight

By Michael Thompson

December 9, 2024 at 10:17 PM

Sweepstakes casinos represent a rapidly expanding sector within the gaming industry, achieving a 75% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 through 2023, reaching a $4 billion market value according to Macquarie analyst Aaron Lee.

Casino chips vs laptop screen

Casino chips vs laptop screen

These platforms operate in a unique space between social casinos and traditional iGaming, offering free-to-play games with prize-winning potential. While similar to iGaming, sweepstakes casinos haven't shown signs of cannibalization and may actually promote iGaming legislation by highlighting untapped tax revenue opportunities.

Operating Structure and Legal Considerations:

  • Uses dual currency system
  • Removes "consideration" element to avoid gambling classification
  • Requires no-purchase-necessary options
  • Currently restricted in 11 states
  • Most operators based outside US

Market Growth and Projections:

  • 2019: $460 million
  • 2023: $4.2 billion (gross revenue)
  • 2024E: $5.6 billion (30% YOY growth)
  • 2025E: $6.9 billion (24% YOY growth)

Net revenue estimates are significantly lower, with the 2023 market valued at $1.3 billion, compared to social casinos ($7 billion) and iGaming ($6.5 billion). The American Gaming Association advocates for increased regulatory oversight, particularly regarding the dual currency system that may circumvent federal and state laws.

Despite regulatory challenges, the sector continues to show strong growth potential, though increased scrutiny is expected as the market matures and expands.

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